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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 23.8 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| CF Montreal 1–0 Inter Miami | 1.28–0.94 | 44% · 28% · 27% | Win in line with xG for CF Montreal |
| New England Revolution 3–3 Chicago Fire | 2.32–1.07 | 65% · 19% · 16% | Draw against the xG: New England Revolution had 65% |
| New York City FC 1–3 Philadelphia Union | 1.51–1.67 | 35% · 23% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Philadelphia Union |
| Orlando City SC 1–1 Atlanta United FC | 1.10–0.61 | 47% · 32% · 20% | Draw in line with xG |
| Houston Dynamo 2–1 Austin | 1.36–0.98 | 46% · 27% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Houston Dynamo |
| Minnesota United FC 1–1 Real Salt Lake | 1.67–0.57 | 64% · 23% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Minnesota United FC had 64% |
| St. Louis City SC 3–1 Vancouver Whitecaps | 0.93–1.36 | 26% · 28% · 47% | Won against the xG: St. Louis City SC |
| Colorado Rapids 0–1 FC Cincinnati | 0.91–1.08 | 30% · 31% · 39% | Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati |
| San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 FC Dallas | 0.48–0.76 | 21% · 40% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Seattle Sounders 1–0 New York Red Bulls | 1.94–1.31 | 52% · 22% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Seattle Sounders |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.