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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 30.0 xG (0.77 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin 3–0 Houston Dynamo | 1.77–0.75 | 62% · 23% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Austin |
| Colorado Rapids 0–0 LA Galaxy | 0.59–0.94 | 22% · 35% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| LAFC 2–3 Vancouver Whitecaps | 2.57–1.78 | 55% · 19% · 26% | Won against the xG: Vancouver Whitecaps |
| Portland Timbers 1–1 New York City FC | 0.96–0.52 | 45% · 36% · 19% | Draw in line with xG |
| Seattle Sounders 0–0 Orlando City SC | 1.46–2.06 | 27% · 21% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Orlando City SC had 51% |
| San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 St. Louis City SC | 1.41–1.68 | 32% · 24% · 44% | Win in line with xG for St. Louis City SC |
| Columbus Crew 2–1 New York Red Bulls | 1.06–1.60 | 25% · 25% · 50% | Won against the xG: Columbus Crew |
| Inter Miami 1–1 Austin | 2.15–0.80 | 68% · 19% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Inter Miami had 68% |
| Orlando City SC 3–1 Chicago Fire | 2.24–2.13 | 42% · 20% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Orlando City SC |
| Toronto FC 0–1 Real Salt Lake | 1.34–2.16 | 23% · 21% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Real Salt Lake |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.