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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 22.8 xG (1.14 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati 2–2 New England Revolution | 1.84–0.54 | 69% · 21% · 10% | Draw against the xG: FC Cincinnati had 69% |
| CF Montreal 0–1 New York City FC | 0.47–0.89 | 19% · 38% · 44% | Win in line with xG for New York City FC |
| FC Dallas 2–0 LAFC | 1.02–1.12 | 33% · 30% · 38% | Close call, FC Dallas won |
| Sporting Kansas City 3–0 Vancouver Whitecaps | 2.28–0.83 | 70% · 18% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Sporting Kansas City |
| Minnesota United FC 4–1 Portland Timbers | 2.26–0.65 | 74% · 17% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Minnesota United FC |
| Nashville SC 2–0 DC United | 1.35–0.88 | 48% · 28% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Nashville SC |
| St. Louis City SC 2–0 Colorado Rapids | 2.54–0.60 | 79% · 14% · 7% | Win in line with xG for St. Louis City SC |
| San Jose Earthquakes 2–2 LA Galaxy | 1.62–0.64 | 61% · 24% · 14% | Draw against the xG: San Jose Earthquakes had 61% |
| Seattle Sounders 1–0 Houston Dynamo | 1.11–0.51 | 50% · 33% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Seattle Sounders |
| Atlanta United FC 2–0 Philadelphia Union | 0.85–0.79 | 34% · 35% · 31% | Close call, Atlanta United FC won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.