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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 25.5 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami 2–2 Columbus Crew | 0.83–2.32 | 12% · 17% · 71% | Draw against the xG: Columbus Crew had 71% |
| Orlando City SC 4–0 Toronto FC | 2.70–0.18 | 90% · 9% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Orlando City SC |
| FC Dallas 0–1 DC United | 1.33–0.49 | 58% · 29% · 14% | Won against the xG: DC United |
| LA Galaxy 2–1 LAFC | 1.36–1.63 | 32% · 24% · 44% | Close call, LA Galaxy won |
| New York City FC 1–1 Charlotte | 1.95–0.38 | 75% · 18% · 6% | Draw against the xG: New York City FC had 75% |
| Columbus Crew 1–1 New York City FC | 0.55–1.74 | 11% · 22% · 66% | Draw against the xG: New York City FC had 66% |
| DC United 2–2 Inter Miami | 2.81–0.69 | 81% · 12% · 6% | Draw against the xG: DC United had 81% |
| CF Montreal 0–1 Atlanta United FC | 0.65–1.63 | 15% · 24% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Atlanta United FC |
| New York Red Bulls 2–1 New England Revolution | 1.55–0.80 | 55% · 26% · 19% | Win in line with xG for New York Red Bulls |
| Toronto FC 0–1 St. Louis City SC | 0.54–1.40 | 14% · 27% · 58% | Win in line with xG for St. Louis City SC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.