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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 20.3 xG (1.18 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC 3–2 Portland Timbers | 1.74–1.18 | 50% · 24% · 26% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
| Atlanta United FC 1–1 Toronto FC | 0.86–0.31 | 47% · 40% · 13% | Draw in line with xG |
| Columbus Crew 2–0 DC United | 1.15–1.08 | 37% · 29% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| Inter Miami 2–0 Philadelphia Union | 0.47–1.01 | 17% · 35% · 48% | Won against the xG: Inter Miami |
| New England Revolution 3–0 Houston Dynamo | 1.49–0.62 | 58% · 26% · 15% | Win in line with xG for New England Revolution |
| New York Red Bulls 0–0 Nashville SC | 0.51–0.24 | 33% · 53% · 14% | Draw in line with xG |
| Orlando City SC 0–0 FC Cincinnati | 0.29–1.20 | 9% · 31% · 60% | Draw against the xG: FC Cincinnati had 60% |
| Chicago Fire 1–1 New York City FC | 0.77–1.78 | 16% · 23% · 61% | Draw against the xG: New York City FC had 61% |
| FC Dallas 3–1 LA Galaxy | 1.71–1.58 | 41% · 23% · 36% | Win in line with xG for FC Dallas |
| St. Louis City SC 3–1 Charlotte | 1.68–0.67 | 62% · 24% · 15% | Win in line with xG for St. Louis City SC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.