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10 of 10 matches with xG: 17 goals from 23.8 xG (0.71 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin 1–0 CF Montreal | 2.05–0.58 | 72% · 19% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Austin |
| Colorado Rapids 0–0 Sporting Kansas City | 1.75–0.71 | 62% · 23% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Colorado Rapids had 62% |
| San Jose Earthquakes 2–1 Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.82–0.69 | 64% · 22% · 14% | Win in line with xG for San Jose Earthquakes |
| Seattle Sounders 2–0 Real Salt Lake | 2.79–0.48 | 85% · 11% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Seattle Sounders |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 1–1 FC Dallas | 0.82–1.17 | 26% · 30% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Charlotte 0–3 Atlanta United FC | 1.22–1.29 | 35% · 27% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Atlanta United FC |
| DC United 1–1 Orlando City SC | 1.56–0.68 | 59% · 25% · 16% | Draw against the xG: DC United had 59% |
| New York City FC 1–0 Inter Miami | 1.05–0.48 | 49% · 34% · 17% | Win in line with xG for New York City FC |
| Philadelphia Union 1–0 Chicago Fire | 1.09–1.36 | 30% · 27% · 43% | Close call, Philadelphia Union won |
| Toronto FC 1–1 Columbus Crew | 0.84–1.39 | 23% · 27% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.