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10 of 10 matches with xG: 18 goals from 21.3 xG (0.85 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati 1–0 Seattle Sounders | 0.60–0.51 | 31% · 44% · 25% | Close call, FC Cincinnati won |
| Sporting Kansas City 0–0 LA Galaxy | 1.47–0.42 | 64% · 26% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Sporting Kansas City had 64% |
| Minnesota United FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls | 1.43–1.42 | 38% · 25% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Nashville SC 2–0 CF Montreal | 1.48–0.33 | 67% · 25% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Nashville SC |
| Real Salt Lake 1–2 Austin | 0.89–1.12 | 29% · 30% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Austin |
| San Jose Earthquakes 1–0 Colorado Rapids | 1.62–0.49 | 65% · 24% · 11% | Win in line with xG for San Jose Earthquakes |
| Portland Timbers 1–2 St. Louis City SC | 1.01–0.82 | 39% · 32% · 29% | Close call, St. Louis City SC won |
| LAFC 4–0 New England Revolution | 2.93–0.40 | 88% · 9% · 3% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
| Seattle Sounders 0–0 LAFC | 1.38–1.21 | 41% · 26% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Toronto FC 2–0 Inter Miami | 1.22–0.53 | 53% · 31% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Toronto FC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.