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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 27.9 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC 4–0 Nashville SC | 3.56–1.16 | 81% · 11% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Atlanta United FC |
| FC Dallas 1–0 Austin | 0.62–0.58 | 30% · 42% · 28% | Close call, FC Dallas won |
| Sporting Kansas City 3–0 San Jose Earthquakes | 1.35–1.68 | 31% · 24% · 45% | Close call, Sporting Kansas City won |
| Real Salt Lake 0–3 Houston Dynamo | 0.44–1.63 | 10% · 23% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Houston Dynamo |
| LA Galaxy 3–0 Chicago Fire | 1.91–1.12 | 56% · 22% · 22% | Win in line with xG for LA Galaxy |
| Portland Timbers 2–3 Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.95–2.01 | 38% · 21% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps |
| Minnesota United FC 1–1 Seattle Sounders | 1.15–0.69 | 47% · 31% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| New England Revolution 1–0 New York Red Bulls | 1.15–0.43 | 54% · 32% · 14% | Win in line with xG for New England Revolution |
| New York City FC 2–0 CF Montreal | 1.56–0.88 | 53% · 25% · 21% | Win in line with xG for New York City FC |
| Toronto FC 3–1 Philadelphia Union | 1.81–2.27 | 31% · 20% · 49% | Close call, Toronto FC won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.