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10 of 10 matches with xG: 32 goals from 25.5 xG (1.25 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.59–1.05 | 50% · 25% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Cincinnati 0–1 Orlando City SC | 1.15–1.14 | 36% · 28% · 36% | Close call, Orlando City SC won |
| DC United 4–0 Chicago Fire | 1.92–1.17 | 55% · 22% · 23% | Win in line with xG for DC United |
| CF Montreal 2–4 Columbus Crew | 2.05–2.43 | 33% · 19% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| New England Revolution 2–2 Austin | 1.05–1.12 | 34% · 29% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Dallas 2–2 Atlanta United FC | 2.29–0.63 | 75% · 16% · 9% | Draw against the xG: FC Dallas had 75% |
| Nashville SC 1–1 Charlotte | 1.41–0.44 | 61% · 27% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Nashville SC had 61% |
| Sporting Kansas City 2–1 St. Louis City SC | 1.77–0.31 | 74% · 20% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Sporting Kansas City |
| Real Salt Lake 2–0 Colorado Rapids | 1.02–0.20 | 57% · 36% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Real Salt Lake |
| Seattle Sounders 2–2 Portland Timbers | 1.65–1.15 | 49% · 24% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.