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MLS 2023 xG Round-Up: Matchday 40

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Matches

Matchday 40 in xG

10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 30.2 xG (0.79 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
LA Galaxy 0–0 Houston Dynamo0.50–1.4213% · 27% · 60%Draw against the xG: Houston Dynamo had 60%
San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Minnesota United FC1.76–1.8537% · 22% · 41%Draw in line with xG
Philadelphia Union 4–1 New York Red Bulls2.12–1.3056% · 21% · 23%Win in line with xG for Philadelphia Union
LAFC 1–3 Inter Miami2.26–2.0644% · 20% · 36%Close call, Inter Miami won
DC United 0–0 San Jose Earthquakes2.07–0.8466% · 20% · 14%Draw against the xG: DC United had 66%
Inter Miami 3–2 Sporting Kansas City2.12–1.4353% · 21% · 26%Win in line with xG for Inter Miami
Minnesota United FC 1–1 New England Revolution1.73–0.6264% · 23% · 13%Draw against the xG: Minnesota United FC had 64%
Portland Timbers 2–0 LAFC2.27–1.2061% · 19% · 19%Win in line with xG for Portland Timbers
LA Galaxy 2–2 St. Louis City SC2.26–0.7173% · 17% · 10%Draw against the xG: LA Galaxy had 73%
New York City FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls0.60–1.0920% · 33% · 47%Draw in line with xG

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 39 · Matchday 41

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