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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 29.6 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC 5–2 Inter Miami | 1.75–1.61 | 42% · 23% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Atlanta United FC |
| Charlotte 0–0 DC United | 0.99–0.96 | 35% · 31% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| CF Montreal 0–0 Chicago Fire | 1.66–0.38 | 69% · 23% · 8% | Draw against the xG: CF Montreal had 69% |
| Orlando City SC 4–3 Columbus Crew | 1.90–3.89 | 14% · 12% · 73% | Won against the xG: Orlando City SC |
| Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati | 1.92–2.58 | 29% · 19% · 53% | Draw against the xG: FC Cincinnati had 53% |
| Toronto FC 1–2 Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.02–2.59 | 13% · 16% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps |
| FC Dallas 1–1 Seattle Sounders | 0.57–0.73 | 25% · 40% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Minnesota United FC 0–1 Sporting Kansas City | 1.73–0.88 | 57% · 24% · 19% | Won against the xG: Sporting Kansas City |
| Houston Dynamo 1–1 St. Louis City SC | 1.21–1.28 | 35% · 27% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Colorado Rapids 2–1 New England Revolution | 1.10–0.82 | 42% · 31% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Colorado Rapids |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.