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11 of 11 matches with xG: 32 goals from 30.5 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Salt Lake 2–3 Sporting Kansas City | 0.46–1.80 | 9% · 21% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Sporting Kansas City |
| Seattle Sounders 0–0 Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.01–0.40 | 50% · 35% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Seattle Sounders had 50% |
| Nashville SC 3–2 New England Revolution | 3.00–0.72 | 83% · 11% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Nashville SC |
| FC Dallas 1–1 Colorado Rapids | 0.78–2.00 | 14% · 20% · 66% | Draw against the xG: Colorado Rapids had 66% |
| LA Galaxy 2–2 Real Salt Lake | 2.04–2.13 | 38% · 20% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Inter Miami 2–2 Charlotte | 2.15–0.68 | 71% · 18% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Inter Miami had 71% |
| FC Cincinnati 2–2 Atlanta United FC | 2.07–1.56 | 50% · 21% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Columbus Crew 2–1 CF Montreal | 2.55–0.56 | 80% · 13% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| Nashville SC 0–1 New York Red Bulls | 0.57–1.22 | 17% · 30% · 52% | Win in line with xG for New York Red Bulls |
| New England Revolution 2–1 Philadelphia Union | 2.08–0.83 | 66% · 20% · 14% | Win in line with xG for New England Revolution |
| New York City FC 1–0 Chicago Fire | 0.86–1.05 | 29% · 32% · 39% | Close call, New York City FC won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.