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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 26.2 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids 1–2 Minnesota United FC | 0.92–1.24 | 27% · 29% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Minnesota United FC |
| LA Galaxy 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.78–1.44 | 46% · 23% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Portland Timbers 0–0 LA Galaxy | 0.98–0.99 | 34% · 31% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Charlotte 1–1 New York Red Bulls | 0.61–1.15 | 20% · 32% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Columbus Crew 6–1 Atlanta United FC | 2.16–0.10 | 86% · 13% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| DC United 1–2 New England Revolution | 1.46–1.48 | 37% · 25% · 38% | Win in line with xG for New England Revolution |
| Inter Miami 2–3 Chicago Fire | 1.00–1.87 | 20% · 22% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Chicago Fire |
| Philadelphia Union 1–2 Orlando City SC | 1.77–1.93 | 36% · 22% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Orlando City SC |
| Minnesota United FC 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps | 0.67–2.04 | 11% · 19% · 69% | Draw against the xG: Vancouver Whitecaps had 69% |
| Nashville SC 0–1 FC Cincinnati | 1.05–1.59 | 25% · 25% · 50% | Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.