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10 of 10 matches with xG: 17 goals from 26.8 xG (0.64 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC 1–0 New York Red Bulls | 1.50–0.85 | 53% · 26% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Atlanta United FC |
| FC Cincinnati 1–0 Inter Miami | 1.44–0.66 | 56% · 27% · 17% | Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati |
| Columbus Crew 4–0 Real Salt Lake | 3.67–0.62 | 90% · 7% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| Philadelphia Union 0–0 Sporting Kansas City | 1.12–0.68 | 46% · 32% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| Chicago Fire 0–0 DC United | 0.98–0.69 | 41% · 34% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Dallas 1–1 Portland Timbers | 1.08–0.56 | 48% · 33% · 19% | Draw in line with xG |
| St. Louis City SC 0–1 Minnesota United FC | 0.93–1.82 | 19% · 23% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Minnesota United FC |
| Colorado Rapids 0–0 LAFC | 1.05–0.64 | 45% · 33% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| San Jose Earthquakes 2–1 Houston Dynamo | 3.23–1.15 | 78% · 12% · 10% | Win in line with xG for San Jose Earthquakes |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 5–0 CF Montreal | 3.76–0.33 | 94% · 4% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.