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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 22.8 xG (0.83 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati 1–0 Philadelphia Union | 1.72–0.63 | 64% · 23% · 13% | Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati |
| DC United 0–2 Columbus Crew | 0.69–1.45 | 18% · 27% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| LAFC 3–0 Austin | 1.45–0.37 | 65% · 26% · 9% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
| Inter Miami 0–1 FC Dallas | 0.55–1.87 | 10% · 21% · 69% | Win in line with xG for FC Dallas |
| New England Revolution 4–0 CF Montreal | 2.16–0.58 | 74% · 17% · 9% | Win in line with xG for New England Revolution |
| New York Red Bulls 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes | 2.07–0.83 | 66% · 20% · 14% | Draw against the xG: New York Red Bulls had 66% |
| New York City FC 1–1 Atlanta United FC | 1.08–1.89 | 21% · 22% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Atlanta United FC had 56% |
| Houston Dynamo 3–0 LA Galaxy | 1.47–1.23 | 43% · 26% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Houston Dynamo |
| Sporting Kansas City 0–1 Colorado Rapids | 0.82–0.52 | 40% · 39% · 22% | Won against the xG: Colorado Rapids |
| Nashville SC 0–0 Toronto FC | 0.38–1.07 | 13% · 34% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Toronto FC had 53% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.