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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 22.3 xG (1.21 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire 2–1 Minnesota United FC | 0.83–0.52 | 40% · 38% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Chicago Fire |
| Real Salt Lake 3–1 Charlotte | 2.97–1.05 | 76% · 14% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Real Salt Lake |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 1–0 Portland Timbers | 2.30–0.74 | 73% · 17% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps |
| Seattle Sounders 3–0 St. Louis City SC | 1.75–0.65 | 64% · 23% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Seattle Sounders |
| Charlotte 2–2 Colorado Rapids | 0.90–1.94 | 17% · 21% · 62% | Draw against the xG: Colorado Rapids had 62% |
| Columbus Crew 1–1 New England Revolution | 1.09–1.37 | 30% · 27% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| CF Montreal 0–1 DC United | 0.32–0.59 | 17% · 48% · 35% | Close call, DC United won |
| New York Red Bulls 1–1 Houston Dynamo | 1.62–0.24 | 73% · 22% · 5% | Draw against the xG: New York Red Bulls had 73% |
| New York City FC 2–1 Nashville SC | 1.22–0.88 | 44% · 29% · 27% | Win in line with xG for New York City FC |
| Toronto FC 2–2 Atlanta United FC | 0.72–0.58 | 34% · 40% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.