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10 of 10 matches with xG: 39 goals from 31.0 xG (1.26 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin 0–0 Vancouver Whitecaps | 0.80–1.09 | 27% · 31% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Chicago Fire 2–2 Philadelphia Union | 1.91–2.61 | 28% · 18% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Philadelphia Union had 53% |
| FC Dallas 2–1 Real Salt Lake | 0.77–1.52 | 19% · 26% · 55% | Won against the xG: FC Dallas |
| Minnesota United FC 1–2 Orlando City SC | 2.48–1.32 | 63% · 18% · 19% | Won against the xG: Orlando City SC |
| St. Louis City SC 5–1 FC Cincinnati | 1.74–1.44 | 45% · 23% · 32% | Win in line with xG for St. Louis City SC |
| Portland Timbers 4–1 Seattle Sounders | 1.78–1.35 | 48% · 23% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Portland Timbers |
| San Jose Earthquakes 3–0 Sporting Kansas City | 2.13–0.46 | 76% · 17% · 7% | Win in line with xG for San Jose Earthquakes |
| LA Galaxy 2–3 LAFC | 1.78–2.24 | 31% · 20% · 49% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
| Orlando City SC 1–3 DC United | 1.11–1.06 | 37% · 29% · 34% | Close call, DC United won |
| Philadelphia Union 4–2 Toronto FC | 2.77–0.64 | 82% · 12% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Philadelphia Union |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.