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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 28.0 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte 1–0 Columbus Crew | 0.93–0.93 | 34% · 32% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Charlotte |
| FC Cincinnati 2–1 Portland Timbers | 2.12–1.69 | 48% · 21% · 31% | Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati |
| CF Montreal 2–0 New York Red Bulls | 0.92–1.59 | 22% · 25% · 53% | Won against the xG: CF Montreal |
| New England Revolution 2–1 Sporting Kansas City | 2.35–0.89 | 70% · 18% · 13% | Win in line with xG for New England Revolution |
| New York City FC 3–1 FC Dallas | 2.12–1.33 | 56% · 21% · 24% | Win in line with xG for New York City FC |
| Houston Dynamo 1–0 Inter Miami | 0.78–1.53 | 19% · 26% · 55% | Won against the xG: Houston Dynamo |
| Nashville SC 1–1 LAFC | 1.10–1.72 | 24% · 24% · 52% | Draw against the xG: LAFC had 52% |
| Real Salt Lake 3–1 San Jose Earthquakes | 1.37–0.86 | 49% · 28% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Real Salt Lake |
| Colorado Rapids 1–1 St. Louis City SC | 3.23–1.11 | 78% · 12% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Colorado Rapids had 78% |
| Seattle Sounders 1–0 Minnesota United FC | 0.93–0.52 | 44% · 36% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Seattle Sounders |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.