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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 30.5 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA Galaxy 2–0 Austin | 1.93–1.03 | 58% · 22% · 20% | Win in line with xG for LA Galaxy |
| Atlanta United FC 2–1 Chicago Fire | 0.71–1.71 | 15% · 23% · 61% | Won against the xG: Atlanta United FC |
| Nashville SC 3–1 Atlanta United FC | 2.44–1.44 | 60% · 19% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Nashville SC |
| Columbus Crew 1–2 Inter Miami | 1.34–0.72 | 52% · 28% · 20% | Won against the xG: Inter Miami |
| DC United 3–0 Charlotte | 2.11–0.50 | 75% · 17% · 8% | Win in line with xG for DC United |
| New England Revolution 1–1 FC Cincinnati | 4.83–1.94 | 82% · 9% · 9% | Draw against the xG: New England Revolution had 82% |
| Orlando City SC 2–0 LA Galaxy | 1.44–1.05 | 46% · 26% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Orlando City SC |
| Toronto FC 1–0 New York City FC | 1.41–0.39 | 63% · 27% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Toronto FC |
| Sporting Kansas City 0–2 CF Montreal | 0.65–1.54 | 16% · 26% · 59% | Win in line with xG for CF Montreal |
| St. Louis City SC 1–2 Portland Timbers | 0.91–2.45 | 12% · 17% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Portland Timbers |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.