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10 of 10 matches with xG: 17 goals from 25.0 xG (0.68 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin 2–2 San Jose Earthquakes | 2.24–0.96 | 66% · 19% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Austin had 66% |
| Chicago Fire 1–1 New York Red Bulls | 0.53–1.45 | 13% · 27% · 60% | Draw against the xG: New York Red Bulls had 60% |
| Real Salt Lake 0–0 Seattle Sounders | 0.67–1.06 | 23% · 33% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 0–0 Colorado Rapids | 1.33–1.17 | 40% · 27% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Minnesota United FC 0–0 FC Dallas | 1.19–0.58 | 51% · 31% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Minnesota United FC had 51% |
| Inter Miami 2–1 Atlanta United FC | 1.39–1.26 | 40% · 26% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Inter Miami |
| CF Montreal 2–0 Orlando City SC | 0.81–0.89 | 31% · 34% · 35% | Close call, CF Montreal won |
| New York Red Bulls 0–1 Philadelphia Union | 1.59–1.07 | 49% · 25% · 26% | Won against the xG: Philadelphia Union |
| San Jose Earthquakes 2–1 LAFC | 2.34–1.18 | 63% · 19% · 18% | Win in line with xG for San Jose Earthquakes |
| Toronto FC 0–2 New England Revolution | 1.27–2.00 | 24% · 22% · 54% | Win in line with xG for New England Revolution |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.