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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 27.2 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte 3–2 New York City FC | 1.45–1.80 | 31% · 23% · 46% | Close call, Charlotte won |
| FC Cincinnati 2–1 DC United | 1.24–1.09 | 40% · 28% · 32% | Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati |
| Houston Dynamo 0–0 Real Salt Lake | 1.08–1.03 | 36% · 30% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Nashville SC 3–0 Chicago Fire | 4.47–0.41 | 96% · 3% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Nashville SC |
| LA Galaxy 1–3 Colorado Rapids | 2.27–0.96 | 67% · 19% · 15% | Won against the xG: Colorado Rapids |
| Portland Timbers 2–2 Austin | 0.78–1.23 | 24% · 30% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 3–2 Minnesota United FC | 2.70–2.34 | 47% · 18% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps |
| Seattle Sounders 1–2 Sporting Kansas City | 1.49–0.83 | 53% · 26% · 21% | Won against the xG: Sporting Kansas City |
| Chicago Fire 1–0 St. Louis City SC | 0.95–0.47 | 46% · 36% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Chicago Fire |
| New York Red Bulls 1–0 New York City FC | 0.32–0.26 | 22% · 61% · 17% | Close call, New York Red Bulls won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.