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10 of 10 matches with xG: 40 goals from 32.1 xG (1.24 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin 4–3 San Jose Earthquakes | 1.88–2.71 | 26% · 18% · 56% | Won against the xG: Austin |
| Chicago Fire 2–1 Houston Dynamo | 1.44–0.98 | 48% · 27% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Chicago Fire |
| Seattle Sounders 5–0 CF Montreal | 3.65–0.46 | 92% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Seattle Sounders |
| Sporting Kansas City 3–3 Portland Timbers | 2.57–2.06 | 50% · 19% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Portland Timbers 2–2 LAFC | 1.37–1.74 | 30% · 23% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Charlotte 3–2 Toronto FC | 0.98–1.86 | 20% · 22% · 58% | Won against the xG: Charlotte |
| DC United 2–3 Orlando City SC | 1.54–1.84 | 33% · 22% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Orlando City SC |
| CF Montreal 2–1 FC Cincinnati | 1.14–1.02 | 38% · 29% · 32% | Win in line with xG for CF Montreal |
| New York Red Bulls 0–0 Chicago Fire | 1.42–0.56 | 58% · 27% · 15% | Draw against the xG: New York Red Bulls had 58% |
| New York City FC 2–0 New England Revolution | 2.52–0.40 | 84% · 12% · 4% | Win in line with xG for New York City FC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.