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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 21.2 xG (1.22 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC 1–2 Minnesota United FC | 1.08–0.54 | 49% · 33% · 18% | Won against the xG: Minnesota United FC |
| Charlotte 2–0 Portland Timbers | 1.37–0.35 | 63% · 28% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Charlotte |
| DC United 2–2 Philadelphia Union | 0.83–0.54 | 40% · 38% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| Inter Miami 6–2 New York Red Bulls | 2.86–1.37 | 68% · 16% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Inter Miami |
| Chicago Fire 0–1 New England Revolution | 1.26–0.89 | 45% · 29% · 26% | Won against the xG: New England Revolution |
| Houston Dynamo 0–0 St. Louis City SC | 1.30–1.01 | 43% · 28% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Nashville SC 4–1 CF Montreal | 2.38–0.64 | 76% · 16% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Nashville SC |
| Real Salt Lake 1–0 Sporting Kansas City | 0.89–0.30 | 49% · 39% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Real Salt Lake |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 0–0 Austin | 1.28–0.53 | 55% · 29% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Vancouver Whitecaps had 55% |
| New York City FC 0–2 Colorado Rapids | 1.16–0.66 | 48% · 31% · 21% | Won against the xG: Colorado Rapids |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.