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10 of 10 matches with xG: 29 goals from 25.0 xG (1.16 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati 2–1 Colorado Rapids | 2.11–0.62 | 72% · 18% · 10% | Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati |
| Chicago Fire 0–0 Atlanta United FC | 1.01–1.27 | 29% · 28% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Dallas 2–0 Houston Dynamo | 2.26–0.08 | 88% · 11% · 1% | Win in line with xG for FC Dallas |
| Minnesota United FC 2–1 Sporting Kansas City | 2.23–0.90 | 68% · 19% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Minnesota United FC |
| Nashville SC 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes | 1.06–0.90 | 39% · 31% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| LAFC 3–2 Portland Timbers | 1.27–0.79 | 48% · 29% · 23% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
| Philadelphia Union 2–3 Seattle Sounders | 1.26–2.17 | 22% · 20% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Seattle Sounders |
| Orlando City SC 0–1 FC Cincinnati | 0.41–1.02 | 15% · 35% · 50% | Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati |
| San Jose Earthquakes 3–1 LAFC | 1.43–1.50 | 36% · 25% · 39% | Close call, San Jose Earthquakes won |
| Toronto FC 3–1 FC Dallas | 1.97–0.71 | 67% · 20% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Toronto FC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.