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10 of 10 matches with xG: 31 goals from 26.4 xG (1.17 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte 0–3 Minnesota United FC | 0.86–1.68 | 19% · 24% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Minnesota United FC |
| LA Galaxy 4–3 San Jose Earthquakes | 2.39–1.80 | 51% · 19% · 29% | Win in line with xG for LA Galaxy |
| Austin 2–0 LA Galaxy | 1.03–0.57 | 46% · 34% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Austin |
| Columbus Crew 0–0 CF Montreal | 1.58–0.48 | 65% · 24% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Columbus Crew had 65% |
| DC United 2–1 Seattle Sounders | 1.82–1.32 | 49% · 23% · 28% | Win in line with xG for DC United |
| New England Revolution 1–4 Inter Miami | 0.31–2.78 | 2% · 9% · 88% | Win in line with xG for Inter Miami |
| New York Red Bulls 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.18–1.04 | 39% · 29% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| New York City FC 2–1 Charlotte | 1.37–0.98 | 46% · 27% · 27% | Win in line with xG for New York City FC |
| Orlando City SC 1–2 Toronto FC | 1.09–1.80 | 23% · 23% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Toronto FC |
| Philadelphia Union 1–2 Real Salt Lake | 1.84–0.48 | 70% · 21% · 9% | Won against the xG: Real Salt Lake |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.