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10 of 10 matches with xG: 35 goals from 30.8 xG (1.14 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati | 1.95–2.05 | 38% · 21% · 42% | Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati |
| Columbus Crew 2–2 Portland Timbers | 1.47–0.59 | 59% · 26% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Columbus Crew had 59% |
| Inter Miami 3–1 Nashville SC | 2.74–2.39 | 47% · 18% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Inter Miami |
| CF Montreal 2–2 Orlando City SC | 1.51–1.52 | 38% · 24% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Chicago Fire 0–4 Real Salt Lake | 1.16–1.80 | 24% · 23% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Real Salt Lake |
| Houston Dynamo 0–1 Austin | 1.52–0.78 | 55% · 26% · 19% | Won against the xG: Austin |
| Sporting Kansas City 3–3 St. Louis City SC | 1.30–1.96 | 25% · 22% · 53% | Draw against the xG: St. Louis City SC had 53% |
| Colorado Rapids 2–1 FC Dallas | 1.80–0.97 | 57% · 23% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Colorado Rapids |
| LAFC 2–2 New York Red Bulls | 1.55–1.10 | 48% · 25% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Seattle Sounders 0–2 Vancouver Whitecaps | 0.60–2.01 | 10% · 19% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.