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10 of 10 matches with xG: 31 goals from 30.9 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas 2–1 Austin | 1.77–2.27 | 30% · 20% · 50% | Close call, FC Dallas won |
| Colorado Rapids 2–3 San Jose Earthquakes | 1.38–1.11 | 43% · 27% · 30% | Close call, San Jose Earthquakes won |
| LA Galaxy 2–2 Real Salt Lake | 2.86–1.21 | 71% · 15% · 13% | Draw against the xG: LA Galaxy had 71% |
| LAFC 3–0 Vancouver Whitecaps | 3.86–0.43 | 94% · 5% · 1% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
| Portland Timbers 1–2 Seattle Sounders | 0.66–0.44 | 35% · 44% · 21% | Close call, Seattle Sounders won |
| FC Cincinnati 1–0 Atlanta United FC | 1.11–0.48 | 51% · 33% · 16% | Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati |
| DC United 1–4 New York Red Bulls | 2.92–2.11 | 55% · 17% · 28% | Won against the xG: New York Red Bulls |
| CF Montreal 1–3 Columbus Crew | 1.82–2.26 | 32% · 20% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| Orlando City SC 0–0 Inter Miami | 0.73–0.57 | 35% · 40% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Philadelphia Union 1–2 New York City FC | 1.51–1.45 | 39% · 24% · 36% | Close call, New York City FC won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.