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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 31.5 xG (0.86 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin 1–0 Houston Dynamo | 1.49–1.31 | 41% · 25% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Austin |
| Chicago Fire 0–1 Charlotte | 1.03–0.55 | 47% · 34% · 19% | Won against the xG: Charlotte |
| Minnesota United FC 2–2 LA Galaxy | 2.48–1.03 | 69% · 17% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Minnesota United FC had 69% |
| Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FC | 0.83–0.39 | 44% · 40% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Nashville SC |
| St. Louis City SC 0–2 LAFC | 1.18–1.75 | 26% · 24% · 51% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
| Colorado Rapids 1–0 Vancouver Whitecaps | 2.64–0.67 | 79% · 14% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Colorado Rapids |
| Real Salt Lake 2–0 Seattle Sounders | 2.17–0.54 | 75% · 17% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Real Salt Lake |
| Portland Timbers 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes | 4.02–1.84 | 76% · 12% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Portland Timbers |
| Nashville SC 1–1 Atlanta United FC | 1.37–0.72 | 52% · 28% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Nashville SC had 52% |
| Toronto FC 5–1 CF Montreal | 3.33–2.13 | 62% · 16% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Toronto FC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.