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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 25.0 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte 1–0 New York City FC | 1.61–0.58 | 63% · 24% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Charlotte |
| DC United 3–1 New England Revolution | 4.63–0.56 | 96% · 3% · 1% | Win in line with xG for DC United |
| Orlando City SC 0–0 CF Montreal | 0.90–0.83 | 35% · 34% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Philadelphia Union 2–2 Chicago Fire | 2.09–1.34 | 55% · 21% · 24% | Draw against the xG: Philadelphia Union had 55% |
| Austin 1–2 Minnesota United FC | 1.00–3.15 | 8% · 12% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Minnesota United FC |
| FC Dallas 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes | 1.01–0.93 | 36% · 31% · 32% | Win in line with xG for FC Dallas |
| Houston Dynamo 1–1 Sporting Kansas City | 0.94–0.16 | 55% · 38% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Houston Dynamo had 55% |
| St. Louis City SC 1–1 Real Salt Lake | 0.69–1.46 | 18% · 27% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Real Salt Lake had 56% |
| Portland Timbers 4–1 Colorado Rapids | 0.54–1.22 | 16% · 31% · 53% | Won against the xG: Portland Timbers |
| FC Cincinnati 0–0 Toronto FC | 0.89–0.44 | 45% · 38% · 17% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.