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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 24.5 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC 0–0 New York Red Bulls | 0.11–1.70 | 2% · 20% · 78% | Draw against the xG: New York Red Bulls had 78% |
| LA Galaxy 1–1 Inter Miami | 3.37–0.63 | 88% · 8% · 4% | Draw against the xG: LA Galaxy had 88% |
| Minnesota United FC 1–1 Columbus Crew | 0.77–1.44 | 20% · 27% · 53% | Draw against the xG: Columbus Crew had 53% |
| Real Salt Lake 3–0 LAFC | 2.26–0.71 | 73% · 17% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Real Salt Lake |
| Inter Miami 5–0 Orlando City SC | 3.06–0.81 | 82% · 11% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Inter Miami |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 1–1 Charlotte | 1.12–1.34 | 31% · 27% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Dallas 1–2 CF Montreal | 0.91–1.53 | 22% · 26% · 52% | Win in line with xG for CF Montreal |
| Houston Dynamo 1–2 New York Red Bulls | 1.24–0.82 | 46% · 29% · 25% | Won against the xG: New York Red Bulls |
| Sporting Kansas City 1–1 Philadelphia Union | 0.89–0.55 | 42% · 37% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| St. Louis City SC 2–0 New York City FC | 0.71–0.51 | 36% · 41% · 23% | Close call, St. Louis City SC won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.