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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 23.9 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire 1–2 FC Cincinnati | 1.05–0.89 | 39% · 31% · 30% | Close call, FC Cincinnati won |
| Colorado Rapids 1–1 Nashville SC | 0.57–1.50 | 14% · 26% · 60% | Draw against the xG: Nashville SC had 60% |
| Portland Timbers 2–2 DC United | 0.80–2.03 | 14% · 20% · 66% | Draw against the xG: DC United had 66% |
| San Jose Earthquakes 1–3 LA Galaxy | 0.77–1.69 | 17% · 24% · 59% | Win in line with xG for LA Galaxy |
| Seattle Sounders 0–0 Austin | 1.26–0.05 | 70% · 29% · 1% | Draw against the xG: Seattle Sounders had 70% |
| New England Revolution 0–1 Toronto FC | 1.80–0.67 | 65% · 22% · 13% | Won against the xG: Toronto FC |
| New York City FC 1–2 Portland Timbers | 1.32–0.90 | 46% · 28% · 25% | Won against the xG: Portland Timbers |
| Toronto FC 1–0 Charlotte | 0.54–0.57 | 27% · 44% · 29% | Close call, Toronto FC won |
| New York Red Bulls 2–1 FC Dallas | 1.97–0.68 | 68% · 20% · 12% | Win in line with xG for New York Red Bulls |
| Orlando City SC 2–3 Minnesota United FC | 3.60–1.24 | 80% · 11% · 9% | Won against the xG: Minnesota United FC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.