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10 of 10 matches with xG: 31 goals from 30.8 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati 0–2 Nashville SC | 1.16–0.77 | 45% · 31% · 24% | Won against the xG: Nashville SC |
| Austin 0–2 Portland Timbers | 2.23–1.70 | 50% · 20% · 30% | Won against the xG: Portland Timbers |
| Chicago Fire 1–1 Orlando City SC | 1.00–0.82 | 39% · 32% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Houston Dynamo 3–1 Colorado Rapids | 2.27–1.66 | 52% · 20% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Houston Dynamo |
| Sporting Kansas City 1–2 Vancouver Whitecaps | 0.81–1.92 | 15% · 21% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps |
| LA Galaxy 3–1 FC Dallas | 3.68–0.51 | 92% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for LA Galaxy |
| Seattle Sounders 1–1 Real Salt Lake | 0.79–1.34 | 22% · 28% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
| LAFC 2–0 Minnesota United FC | 2.32–0.23 | 85% · 13% · 3% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
| New York City FC 5–1 San Jose Earthquakes | 2.84–1.02 | 75% · 14% · 11% | Win in line with xG for New York City FC |
| Philadelphia Union 2–2 CF Montreal | 2.60–1.11 | 69% · 17% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Philadelphia Union had 69% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.