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10 of 10 matches with xG: 35 goals from 31.2 xG (1.12 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| DC United 2–2 Toronto FC | 2.73–0.75 | 79% · 13% · 8% | Draw against the xG: DC United had 79% |
| Inter Miami 3–3 St. Louis City SC | 2.62–1.64 | 59% · 18% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Inter Miami had 59% |
| New York Red Bulls 1–0 Orlando City SC | 0.70–0.39 | 38% · 43% · 18% | Close call, New York Red Bulls won |
| Chicago Fire 2–1 LA Galaxy | 0.98–1.54 | 24% · 26% · 50% | Won against the xG: Chicago Fire |
| Minnesota United FC 3–1 Sporting Kansas City | 1.61–0.64 | 61% · 25% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Minnesota United FC |
| Nashville SC 1–2 New England Revolution | 3.41–0.63 | 88% · 8% · 4% | Won against the xG: New England Revolution |
| Real Salt Lake 5–1 Austin | 3.85–1.29 | 82% · 10% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Real Salt Lake |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 2–1 Colorado Rapids | 2.41–1.58 | 56% · 19% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps |
| LAFC 1–0 FC Dallas | 1.44–0.35 | 65% · 26% · 9% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
| Portland Timbers 2–2 Houston Dynamo | 1.61–1.02 | 51% · 25% · 24% | Draw against the xG: Portland Timbers had 51% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.