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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 26.8 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC 2–3 Charlotte | 1.85–0.88 | 60% · 22% · 17% | Won against the xG: Charlotte |
| New England Revolution 1–0 New York Red Bulls | 0.90–1.14 | 29% · 30% · 41% | Close call, New England Revolution won |
| Minnesota United FC 1–1 FC Dallas | 0.61–0.28 | 37% · 48% · 14% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sporting Kansas City 2–1 Seattle Sounders | 0.74–1.13 | 24% · 31% · 45% | Won against the xG: Sporting Kansas City |
| St. Louis City SC 0–0 Portland Timbers | 1.08–0.63 | 46% · 33% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| New York City FC 2–3 Columbus Crew | 2.10–3.61 | 20% · 14% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| New York Red Bulls 0–0 Nashville SC | 1.99–0.33 | 77% · 17% · 5% | Draw against the xG: New York Red Bulls had 77% |
| Orlando City SC 1–3 LAFC | 2.10–2.22 | 38% · 20% · 42% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
| Philadelphia Union 1–2 Inter Miami | 1.93–1.21 | 54% · 22% · 24% | Won against the xG: Inter Miami |
| Toronto FC 1–4 Chicago Fire | 0.90–1.17 | 28% · 30% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Chicago Fire |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.