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10 of 10 matches with xG: 31 goals from 28.1 xG (1.10 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC 2–2 Houston Dynamo | 1.79–1.48 | 45% · 23% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Charlotte 1–0 DC United | 1.69–0.25 | 74% · 21% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Charlotte |
| CF Montreal 0–0 Real Salt Lake | 1.14–0.95 | 40% · 30% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| New England Revolution 3–2 Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.01–0.68 | 42% · 33% · 24% | Win in line with xG for New England Revolution |
| FC Dallas 2–0 St. Louis City SC | 1.31–1.73 | 29% · 24% · 47% | Won against the xG: FC Dallas |
| Colorado Rapids 2–0 Austin | 0.98–0.51 | 46% · 35% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Colorado Rapids |
| LA Galaxy 4–2 Sporting Kansas City | 3.03–2.60 | 49% · 17% · 34% | Win in line with xG for LA Galaxy |
| San Jose Earthquakes 2–4 FC Cincinnati | 2.73–1.78 | 58% · 18% · 24% | Won against the xG: FC Cincinnati |
| Seattle Sounders 2–0 Minnesota United FC | 1.61–0.27 | 72% · 23% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Seattle Sounders |
| Toronto FC 1–2 Nashville SC | 1.81–0.80 | 61% · 23% · 16% | Won against the xG: Nashville SC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.