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10 of 10 matches with xG: 31 goals from 28.3 xG (1.10 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA Galaxy 2–0 New York City FC | 1.79–0.80 | 61% · 23% · 16% | Win in line with xG for LA Galaxy |
| San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 Portland Timbers | 1.43–2.16 | 25% · 21% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Portland Timbers |
| FC Cincinnati 1–2 New England Revolution | 1.27–0.49 | 56% · 30% · 14% | Won against the xG: New England Revolution |
| Columbus Crew 4–0 Sporting Kansas City | 1.93–0.23 | 79% · 17% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| DC United 1–4 Houston Dynamo | 1.67–2.08 | 31% · 21% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Houston Dynamo |
| New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC | 1.39–0.22 | 68% · 27% · 6% | Win in line with xG for New York Red Bulls |
| Orlando City SC 4–2 Chicago Fire | 1.81–2.93 | 22% · 17% · 61% | Won against the xG: Orlando City SC |
| Philadelphia Union 0–2 Charlotte | 1.00–2.15 | 17% · 20% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Charlotte |
| Nashville SC 1–0 New York City FC | 1.12–1.16 | 35% · 29% · 37% | Close call, Nashville SC won |
| St. Louis City SC 1–1 Atlanta United FC | 1.07–1.61 | 25% · 25% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.