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10 of 10 matches with xG: 31 goals from 32.1 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC 2–1 Toronto FC | 1.57–1.25 | 45% · 25% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Atlanta United FC |
| FC Dallas 0–1 FC Cincinnati | 1.07–1.17 | 33% · 29% · 38% | Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati |
| Houston Dynamo 1–0 Charlotte | 1.31–0.84 | 48% · 28% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Houston Dynamo |
| Sporting Kansas City 2–0 Austin | 1.97–0.59 | 70% · 20% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Sporting Kansas City |
| Nashville SC 1–2 Inter Miami | 1.54–0.86 | 53% · 26% · 21% | Won against the xG: Inter Miami |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 4–3 St. Louis City SC | 1.68–1.75 | 37% · 23% · 40% | Close call, Vancouver Whitecaps won |
| LAFC 3–0 Colorado Rapids | 2.83–0.67 | 82% · 12% · 6% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
| Portland Timbers 3–2 Minnesota United FC | 4.29–1.58 | 82% · 9% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Portland Timbers |
| San Jose Earthquakes 0–3 LA Galaxy | 1.49–1.92 | 30% · 22% · 48% | Win in line with xG for LA Galaxy |
| Seattle Sounders 2–1 Chicago Fire | 2.30–1.47 | 56% · 20% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Seattle Sounders |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.