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10 of 10 matches with xG: 35 goals from 27.7 xG (1.27 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew 4–3 Orlando City SC | 1.53–2.67 | 21% · 18% · 62% | Won against the xG: Columbus Crew |
| CF Montreal 2–0 Chicago Fire | 1.11–0.66 | 46% · 32% · 22% | Win in line with xG for CF Montreal |
| New York Red Bulls 2–2 Atlanta United FC | 3.06–1.61 | 67% · 16% · 18% | Draw against the xG: New York Red Bulls had 67% |
| Austin 0–1 Houston Dynamo | 1.68–0.92 | 55% · 24% · 21% | Won against the xG: Houston Dynamo |
| FC Dallas 3–1 LAFC | 1.19–0.69 | 48% · 31% · 21% | Win in line with xG for FC Dallas |
| Sporting Kansas City 0–2 Minnesota United FC | 1.62–0.46 | 66% · 24% · 10% | Won against the xG: Minnesota United FC |
| Nashville SC 2–2 FC Cincinnati | 0.72–0.66 | 33% · 39% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Colorado Rapids 2–0 Toronto FC | 2.34–1.23 | 62% · 19% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Colorado Rapids |
| Real Salt Lake 3–3 Portland Timbers | 2.01–0.50 | 73% · 19% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Real Salt Lake had 73% |
| San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 St. Louis City SC | 1.48–1.52 | 37% · 24% · 39% | Win in line with xG for St. Louis City SC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.