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10 of 10 matches with xG: 34 goals from 29.0 xG (1.17 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.19–1.07 | 39% · 29% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sporting Kansas City 4–1 Colorado Rapids | 2.72–0.85 | 77% · 14% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Sporting Kansas City |
| Minnesota United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati | 1.63–1.22 | 47% · 24% · 29% | Won against the xG: FC Cincinnati |
| Nashville SC 1–0 Chicago Fire | 0.31–0.55 | 17% · 50% · 33% | Won against the xG: Nashville SC |
| Real Salt Lake 3–2 FC Dallas | 2.18–2.38 | 37% · 19% · 44% | Close call, Real Salt Lake won |
| LAFC 1–1 Austin | 0.83–0.67 | 36% · 37% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Portland Timbers 4–2 LA Galaxy | 3.06–2.36 | 53% · 17% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Portland Timbers |
| Seattle Sounders 2–2 San Jose Earthquakes | 1.17–1.38 | 32% · 27% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| New York City FC 1–1 Inter Miami | 1.25–0.81 | 47% · 29% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Charlotte 4–0 New England Revolution | 2.07–1.28 | 56% · 21% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Charlotte |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.