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10 of 10 matches with xG: 34 goals from 30.4 xG (1.12 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire 2–1 New York Red Bulls | 2.13–1.24 | 58% · 21% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Chicago Fire |
| Colorado Rapids 2–1 Portland Timbers | 1.50–1.87 | 31% · 22% · 46% | Close call, Colorado Rapids won |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 2–0 San Jose Earthquakes | 2.94–0.94 | 78% · 13% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps |
| LA Galaxy 4–2 LAFC | 2.10–1.35 | 55% · 21% · 24% | Win in line with xG for LA Galaxy |
| Seattle Sounders 2–0 Sporting Kansas City | 2.69–0.37 | 86% · 11% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Seattle Sounders |
| Atlanta United FC 2–2 Inter Miami | 1.46–1.77 | 32% · 23% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| New England Revolution 2–2 CF Montreal | 1.33–0.44 | 59% · 29% · 12% | Draw against the xG: New England Revolution had 59% |
| New York City FC 1–5 Philadelphia Union | 2.97–1.78 | 62% · 17% · 21% | Won against the xG: Philadelphia Union |
| Toronto FC 0–2 Columbus Crew | 0.93–1.08 | 31% · 31% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| Orlando City SC 2–0 Charlotte | 1.29–0.21 | 65% · 29% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Orlando City SC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.