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10 of 10 matches with xG: 36 goals from 29.3 xG (1.23 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin 2–2 Real Salt Lake | 1.70–2.09 | 32% · 21% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Chicago Fire 1–1 Toronto FC | 0.99–1.21 | 30% · 29% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Dallas 1–3 Orlando City SC | 1.51–1.51 | 38% · 24% · 38% | Close call, Orlando City SC won |
| Minnesota United FC 3–0 Colorado Rapids | 0.96–0.37 | 49% · 37% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Minnesota United FC |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 1–1 Portland Timbers | 0.98–0.51 | 46% · 35% · 19% | Draw in line with xG |
| Seattle Sounders 1–0 Houston Dynamo | 1.30–0.26 | 64% · 29% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Seattle Sounders |
| Charlotte 4–3 Chicago Fire | 2.94–1.44 | 68% · 16% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Charlotte |
| New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati | 1.44–1.63 | 34% · 24% · 42% | Close call, New York City FC won |
| Orlando City SC 2–1 Philadelphia Union | 2.73–2.03 | 53% · 18% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Orlando City SC |
| Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls | 1.44–2.28 | 24% · 20% · 56% | Win in line with xG for New York Red Bulls |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.