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13 of 13 matches with xG: 35 goals from 31.6 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| DC United 0–0 New York City FC | 0.93–2.20 | 15% · 19% · 66% | Draw against the xG: New York City FC had 66% |
| CF Montreal 1–1 Columbus Crew | 0.22–1.94 | 3% · 17% · 80% | Draw against the xG: Columbus Crew had 80% |
| Orlando City SC 3–1 Charlotte | 0.91–1.06 | 31% · 31% · 38% | Close call, Orlando City SC won |
| Philadelphia Union 3–2 LA Galaxy | 1.93–0.32 | 77% · 18% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Philadelphia Union |
| Toronto FC 0–1 FC Cincinnati | 0.29–1.20 | 9% · 31% · 60% | Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati |
| Houston Dynamo 2–0 Minnesota United FC | 1.02–0.44 | 49% · 35% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Houston Dynamo |
| Nashville SC 2–1 New York Red Bulls | 1.91–0.51 | 71% · 20% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Nashville SC |
| St. Louis City SC 2–2 Sporting Kansas City | 1.30–1.49 | 33% · 25% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Austin 1–1 Atlanta United FC | 0.95–1.33 | 27% · 28% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Real Salt Lake 0–0 Portland Timbers | 0.53–0.82 | 22% · 38% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| LAFC 4–0 Seattle Sounders | 2.23–0.47 | 78% · 16% · 6% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
| San Jose Earthquakes 3–3 Inter Miami | 1.18–2.35 | 18% · 19% · 63% | Draw against the xG: Inter Miami had 63% |
| San Diego 2–0 Colorado Rapids | 2.83–1.23 | 71% · 15% · 14% | Win in line with xG for San Diego |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.