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8 of 8 matches with xG: 8 goals from 14.8 xG (0.54 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge 1–1 KV Mechelen | 1.93–0.56 | 70% · 20% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Club Brugge had 70% |
| Dender 0–0 Union Saint-Gilloise | 0.43–0.80 | 18% · 40% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Beerschot VA 0–0 OH Leuven | 0.10–0.51 | 6% · 57% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Anderlecht 1–0 St. Truiden | 1.06–0.06 | 63% · 35% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| Genk 0–0 Standard Liege | 1.78–0.09 | 80% · 18% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Genk had 80% |
| Kortrijk 0–1 Gent | 1.18–0.70 | 47% · 31% · 22% | Won against the xG: Gent |
| Charleroi 0–1 Antwerp | 0.78–1.86 | 15% · 22% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Antwerp |
| KVC Westerlo 3–0 Cercle Brugge | 2.17–0.80 | 69% · 19% · 12% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.