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8 of 8 matches with xG: 29 goals from 24.7 xG (1.18 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Saint-Gilloise 3–1 Beerschot VA | 1.81–0.50 | 69% · 21% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| KV Mechelen 2–4 KVC Westerlo | 1.40–2.56 | 20% · 18% · 63% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
| OH Leuven 3–1 Genk | 1.33–2.42 | 20% · 19% · 61% | Won against the xG: OH Leuven |
| St. Truiden 1–4 Charleroi | 0.29–2.96 | 2% · 8% · 90% | Win in line with xG for Charleroi |
| Antwerp 1–2 Anderlecht | 2.60–0.76 | 77% · 15% · 9% | Won against the xG: Anderlecht |
| Cercle Brugge 1–2 Kortrijk | 2.43–1.71 | 54% · 19% · 27% | Won against the xG: Kortrijk |
| Standard Liege 1–0 Club Brugge | 0.68–0.95 | 25% · 34% · 40% | Won against the xG: Standard Liege |
| Gent 1–2 Dender | 1.14–1.14 | 36% · 29% · 36% | Close call, Dender won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.