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8 of 8 matches with xG: 32 goals from 27.2 xG (1.18 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege 0–0 KV Mechelen | 0.70–0.52 | 35% · 41% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Dender 4–1 Kortrijk | 1.49–0.80 | 54% · 26% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Dender |
| KVC Westerlo 4–3 Union Saint-Gilloise | 3.72–2.40 | 63% · 14% · 23% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
| Anderlecht 1–1 OH Leuven | 1.50–0.74 | 55% · 26% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Anderlecht had 55% |
| Genk 3–2 Club Brugge | 2.39–1.91 | 49% · 19% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| Antwerp 6–1 St. Truiden | 2.06–1.25 | 56% · 21% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Antwerp |
| Charleroi 1–0 Gent | 2.16–0.71 | 71% · 18% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Charleroi |
| Cercle Brugge 4–1 Beerschot VA | 3.79–1.05 | 85% · 9% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Cercle Brugge |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.