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8 of 8 matches with xG: 27 goals from 25.2 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Saint-Gilloise 1–0 Charleroi | 1.82–0.16 | 79% · 18% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Beerschot VA 3–4 Genk | 1.74–2.40 | 28% · 19% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| St. Truiden 3–3 Dender | 1.75–0.91 | 57% · 23% · 19% | Draw against the xG: St. Truiden had 57% |
| KV Mechelen 1–3 Anderlecht | 2.00–2.65 | 29% · 18% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| Club Brugge 1–0 Antwerp | 1.82–1.49 | 46% · 23% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| OH Leuven 1–1 Cercle Brugge | 2.18–0.60 | 74% · 17% · 9% | Draw against the xG: OH Leuven had 74% |
| Kortrijk 1–0 Standard Liege | 1.69–0.47 | 68% · 23% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Kortrijk |
| Gent 4–1 KVC Westerlo | 2.57–0.94 | 72% · 16% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.