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8 of 8 matches with xG: 13 goals from 21.3 xG (0.61 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| KVC Westerlo 1–1 OH Leuven | 1.31–0.72 | 51% · 29% · 21% | Draw against the xG: KVC Westerlo had 51% |
| Antwerp 0–1 KV Mechelen | 1.91–1.53 | 47% · 22% · 31% | Close call, KV Mechelen won |
| Dender 1–2 Club Brugge | 1.25–1.09 | 40% · 28% · 32% | Close call, Club Brugge won |
| St. Truiden 0–0 Union Saint-Gilloise | 0.34–1.14 | 11% · 32% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Union Saint-Gilloise had 57% |
| Standard Liege 1–0 Beerschot VA | 1.81–1.04 | 55% · 23% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Standard Liege |
| Charleroi 1–0 Kortrijk | 1.09–0.42 | 52% · 33% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Charleroi |
| Anderlecht 0–2 Genk | 1.58–3.59 | 13% · 13% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| Cercle Brugge 2–1 Gent | 2.12–0.40 | 78% · 16% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Cercle Brugge |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.