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8 of 8 matches with xG: 16 goals from 22.7 xG (0.71 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| KVC Westerlo 2–0 Dender | 2.95–1.35 | 70% · 15% · 15% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
| Standard Liege 2–1 St. Truiden | 1.76–1.33 | 48% · 23% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Standard Liege |
| OH Leuven 0–1 Club Brugge | 1.31–0.91 | 46% · 28% · 26% | Won against the xG: Club Brugge |
| KV Mechelen 1–1 Union Saint-Gilloise | 2.01–1.55 | 49% · 22% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Genk 2–0 Antwerp | 1.63–1.04 | 51% · 25% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| Cercle Brugge 2–0 Charleroi | 2.08–0.52 | 74% · 18% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Cercle Brugge |
| Anderlecht 4–0 Kortrijk | 2.46–0.26 | 86% · 12% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| Beerschot VA 0–0 Gent | 0.69–0.81 | 28% · 37% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.