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8 of 8 matches with xG: 27 goals from 24.8 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden 2–1 KV Mechelen | 1.31–1.04 | 43% · 28% · 30% | Win in line with xG for St. Truiden |
| Kortrijk 1–2 Antwerp | 1.30–1.12 | 41% · 27% · 32% | Close call, Antwerp won |
| Dender 1–1 OH Leuven | 1.13–1.29 | 32% · 27% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Charleroi 1–0 KVC Westerlo | 2.35–0.74 | 73% · 17% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Charleroi |
| Cercle Brugge 0–5 Anderlecht | 0.59–3.15 | 4% · 9% · 87% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| Gent 5–0 Standard Liege | 2.50–1.09 | 68% · 17% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Gent |
| Union Saint-Gilloise 4–0 Genk | 2.28–0.75 | 72% · 17% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Union Saint-Gilloise |
| Beerschot VA 2–2 Club Brugge | 1.37–2.76 | 17% · 17% · 67% | Draw against the xG: Club Brugge had 67% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.