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8 of 8 matches with xG: 28 goals from 23.8 xG (1.18 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp 1–1 Dender | 1.65–0.92 | 55% · 24% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Antwerp had 55% |
| Club Brugge 7–0 St. Truiden | 2.75–0.33 | 87% · 10% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge |
| Standard Liege 1–0 Cercle Brugge | 1.05–1.12 | 34% · 29% · 37% | Close call, Standard Liege won |
| Genk 3–0 Charleroi | 2.21–1.18 | 61% · 20% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Genk |
| KV Mechelen 3–0 Beerschot VA | 1.64–0.79 | 58% · 24% · 18% | Win in line with xG for KV Mechelen |
| OH Leuven 1–1 Union Saint-Gilloise | 1.58–1.45 | 41% · 24% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Anderlecht 6–0 Gent | 3.03–0.20 | 92% · 7% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Anderlecht |
| KVC Westerlo 4–0 Kortrijk | 3.32–0.55 | 89% · 8% · 3% | Win in line with xG for KVC Westerlo |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.